Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? resolve?

Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.

How is Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The new 15th district stretches from Hidalgo County in the Rio Grande Valley(including Edinburg and Weslaco), and now extends northeasterly into several rural counties between Corpus Christi, San Antonio and Victoria, including such communities as Falfurrias, Alice, Sinton, Beeville, Cuero and Gonzales.

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$35.7M

24h Vol

$5M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change93.1%
• 25 bps increase6.9%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+3.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$39.4M

24h Vol

$2.5M

POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

• December 31-18.5pt18%
• November 30-14.0pt11%
• November 15-15.5pt7%

+5 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt66.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt24.5%
• Republicans sweep+0.6pt

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
• Republican Party+0.3pt8.9%

Total Vol

$68.1M

24h Vol

$1.4M

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