Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District?

Manifold Markets prices Scott Wiener at 79% as of November 2, 2026.

When does Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District resolve?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state.

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

• None+8.0pt35%
• IA10.3%
• IA, KS-5.0pt7.2%

+125 more outcomes

Total Vol

$37.6M

24h Vol

$15.1M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+4.0pt73.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-5.0pt21.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.4pt93.8%
• Republican Party-0.6pt6.3%

Total Vol

$101.4M

24h Vol

$9.2M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+6.0pt73.5%
• Ken Paxton-5.0pt26.5%

Total Vol

$73M

24h Vol

$7.7M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+7.0pt76.5%
• R Senate, D-6.0pt17.6%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt4.9%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Michigan Senate winner?

• Abdul El-Sayed+6.0pt77.5%
• Mike Rogers-6.0pt22.5%

Total Vol

$21.7M

24h Vol

$4.3M

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