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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District

One-OffPoliticsElection6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Matt Ortega 0.6%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters

5

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale
Jan 9, 26, 5:17 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Matt Ortega1%

Rules

Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state.

Manifold Markets
  • Follows the district number through any redistricting
  • Update 2026-01-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market is for California's 14th Congressional District (the title previously incorrectly stated 11th district, but this was a typo).
  • Update 2026-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on the regularly scheduled 2026 election, not any special election that may occur beforehand.

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Rules

Resolves based on the election outcome per major media calls or secretary of state.

Manifold Markets
  • Follows the district number through any redistricting
  • Update 2026-01-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market is for California's 14th Congressional District (the title previously incorrectly stated 11th district, but this was a typo).
  • Update 2026-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on the regularly scheduled 2026 election, not any special election that may occur beforehand.