Will Republicans win New York 21st congressional district in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Republicans win New York 21st congressional district in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of October 23, 2026.

When does Will Republicans win New York 21st congressional district in 2026? resolve?

Will Republicans win New York 21st congressional district in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Republicans win New York 21st congressional district in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in New York - Wikipedia

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change93.1%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt6.9%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$60.9M

24h Vol

$3.7M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-2.0pt66.3%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt24.8%
• Republicans Sweep7.9%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt65.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$38.4M

24h Vol

$2.5M

POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

• December 31-17.5pt18%
• November 30-16.0pt11%
• November 15-19.0pt5%

+5 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt66.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt22.5%
• Republicans sweep+0.3pt

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party91.3%
• Republican Party+0.1pt8.6%

Total Vol

$67.5M

24h Vol

$1.7M

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