Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastKamala Harris (Vice President) 3.1%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
577
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleAug 13, 24, 7:21 PMNov 26, 28, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kamala Harris (Vice President)3%
Also available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
22%
17%
16%
+10 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
2y
3.6%
1.3%
1.8%
+58 more outcomes
Community forecast479 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$260.1K
24h Vol$251.2
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
2y
15.3%
2.7%
0.1%
+16 more outcomes
Community forecast108 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$31.8K
24h Vol$103
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
2y
1.7%
0.6%
1.1%
+27 more outcomes
Community forecast42 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$19.6K
24h Vol$114.1
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2y
+0.2%3.6%
0.6%
-0.1%1.6%
+97 more outcomes
Community forecast1,973 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$2K
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
2y
19.2%
14.8%
13%
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast32 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$9.8K
24h Vol$91.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
2y
13.8%
3.8%
1.6%
+44 more outcomes
Community forecast146 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$73.2K
24h Vol$102
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolves 100% to the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College in 2028, or selected by Congress following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment.
- This market may resolve prior to official certification of the electoral college votes if the election has been called by all major decision desks.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-be-the-two-major-party-nom @/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolves 100% to the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College in 2028, or selected by Congress following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment.
- This market may resolve prior to official certification of the electoral college votes if the election has been called by all major decision desks.
- Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other".
- Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
- @/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-be-the-two-major-party-nom @/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237