Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 26%Leader of 61 outcomes
Forecasters
489
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleAug 18, 23, 4:14 PM UTCFeb 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
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KalshiRules
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 25%
- Also available on Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Also available on Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Also available on Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 ·