Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 38.9%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 26, 24, 5:01 PM UTCMar 2, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
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KalshiRules
Resolves to whoever comes second at the 2028 presidential election, based on the number of Electoral College votes.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later.
- Resolves N/A in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed, then this market resolves to whoever comes second at the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to N/A. Also resolves N/A if the 2028 elections only have 1 candidate.