Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJD Vance 45.8%Leader of 25 outcomes
Forecasters
72
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 23, 4:37 PM UTCAug 1, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican nominee?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-06 Republican nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolves to the individual nominated at the Republican National Convention in 2028.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 42%
- Also available on Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 46%
- Also available on Myriad — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · JD Vance 49%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 47%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 47%
- Also available on Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 ·
