Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
JD Vance 40.1%-4.0ptLeader of 19 outcomes
JD Vance 40.1%-4.0ptForecasters
525
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-5.9 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 14, 24, 5:38 AM UTCSep 6, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Republican Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Republican National Convention.
- If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."
