Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
JD Vance 42.9%Leader of 17 outcomes
JD Vance 42.9%Forecasters
47
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-4.9 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 16, 24, 3:00 AM UTCNov 12, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market resolves to the next Republican Party Nominee who is not Donald trump, in whatever year that happens.
- This means that if Trump steps aside or dies before the 2024 election, this market resolves to whoever replaces him.
- But if Trump is not replaced, then this market remains open until there is a nominee in a future election cycle who is not Donald Trump.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
