SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probabilityJD Vance 45.9%Leader of 27 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$515.1K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleTrends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
LimitlessWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
MyriadRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 24%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 46%
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 40%
- Also available on Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 48%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 43%
- Also available on Myriad — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
