Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMiguel Díaz-Canel 72.6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 25, 26, 2:26 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba the named outcome.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.