Which of the Manifold rated Lean D senate races will Democrats win?
3.7 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsUS PoliticsElection14d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastDemocrats win all 4 of Maine, Michigan, Texas and Ohio 47.1%+3.7ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+12.5 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 17, 26, 8:04 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES to the ONE correct answer, based on which races Democrats win of Maine, Ohio, Michigan and Texas for US Senate in 2026.
- As of Market Creation, Manifold currently rates these 4 races Lean D:
- [image]Check out the midterm map for more more midterm markets and to explore the map! https://manifold.markets/election?r=SmFjazE
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