Which of the Manifold rated Lean and Likely R senate races will Republicans win?
2.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffSoccerUS PoliticsElection12d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastRepublicans win all of the 4 races, KS,NE, MS, SC 45.7%-2.5ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-4.3 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 17, 26, 8:15 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES to the ONE correct answer, based on which races Republicans win of Kansas(KS), Nebraska(NE), Mississippi (MS) and South Carolina(SC) for US Senate in 2026.
- As of Market Creation, Manifold currently rates these 4 races Lean or Likely R:
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