Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 or more 95.8%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 17, 26, 11:06 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES for all correct answers for the number of races republicans win of these 16 races:
- Alabama District 2 - Rhett Marques (R) vs. Shomari Figures (D) Colorado District 3 - Jeff Hurd (R) vs. Dwayne Romero (D) Colorado District 4 - Lauren Boebert (R) vs. Eileen Laubacher (D) Florida District 7 - Ryan Elijah (R) vs. Bale Dalton (D) Florida District 9 - Dan Green (R) vs. Darren Soto (D) Florida District 27 - María Elvira Salazar (R) vs. Eliott Rodriguez (D) Kentucky District 6 - Ralph Alvarado (R) vs. Zach Dembo (D) Maine District 2 - Paul LePage (R) vs. Matt Dunlap (D) Minnesota District 1 - Brad Finstad (R) vs. Jake Johnson (D) Montana District 1 - Aaron Flint (R) vs. Sam Forstag (D) Ohio District 15 - Mike Carey (R) vs. Don Leonard (D) Pennsylvania District 1 - Brian Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Bob Harvie (D) South Carolina District 1 - Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) vs. Nancy Lacore (D) Texas District 23 - Brandon Herrera (R) vs. Katy Padilla Stout (D) Virginia District 5 - John McGuire (R) vs. Tom Perriello (D) Wisconsin District 1 - Bryan Steil (R) vs. Mitchell Berman (D)
- As of market creation, Manifold rates these 16 races Lean Republican.
- [image]Check out the up to date election map and more markets here:
- https://manifold.markets/election?r=SmFjazE
