Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 26, 6:43 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep/will-democrats-sweep-the-core-four-senate-races-in-2026/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03
- If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from the states of Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi) resolve?
- Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep/will-democrats-sweep-the-core-four-senate-races-in-2026/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03