Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 53%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 26, 4:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWill Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves the same as Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep/will-democrats-sweep-the-core-four-senate-races-in-2026/kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03
- If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from the states of Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine.
- (Identical market to: source market)