PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 57%-3.0pt
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$361.6
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
56.0% / 58.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 13, 26, 11:09 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate.