Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAlaska 45%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 26, 7:45 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketIn which Senate races, will the top 2 candidates combined recieve 95% or more of the vote?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsRules
Closeness will be defined as margin of victory.
- I chose these 5 because I think they will be the closest and I don't have enough mana to make more.
- I'm too lazy to write context, you know what elections are I assume.
- I set resolution date late because results took awhile in 2024 for senate I remember, idk I might change it.
