Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
2.6 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms12d
MyriadCheck availabilityNo KYCLimited verified dataCurrent implied probability
Yes 63.6%+2.6pt
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityTraders
57
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Mar 11, 26, 2:10 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
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ForecastExRules
## **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources.
- ## **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **“Yes”** if the Democratic Party controls **both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate** following the 2026 United States midterm elections. - Resolves to **“No”** if the Democratic Party does not control both chambers after the elections.
- - For the purposes of this market, a “Democratic sweep” means the Democratic Party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the election. - A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. - A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds: - More than half of the voting Senate seats, or - Half of the seats plus the Vice President, who can cast tie-breaking votes. - A candidate’s party affiliation will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time the election results are conclusively called by the resolution sources. - Candidates without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered aligned with the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the time results are finalized. - If control of the House remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the U.S. House selected following the 2026 midterm elections. - If control of the Senate remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Senate Majority Leader selected following the elections.
- ## **Resolution Details:**
