Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial?
PoliticsAIGeopolitics1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast1) Prolonged limbo via security delays 86.4%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 16, 25, 10:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:45 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution Criteria:
- Prolonged limbo via security delays : The anticipated verdict slips past 2026
- Immunity law passed (retroactive immunity)
- Criteria: The Knesset passes and enacts a law specifically granting immunity to Netanyahu, either prospectively or retroactively, after his trial began, with effective date allowing dismissal of his current charges.
- Proof needed:
- Text of law explicitly states immunity covering Netanyahu’s ongoing indictments.
