When will war in Ukraine deescalate to <100 people killed in a year?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for When will war in Ukraine deescalate to <100 people killed in a year??

Manifold Markets prices 2028 at 30.1% as of October 25, 2026.

When does When will war in Ukraine deescalate to <100 people killed in a year? resolve?

When will war in Ukraine deescalate to <100 people killed in a year? is scheduled to resolve on January 10, 2051.

How is When will war in Ukraine deescalate to <100 people killed in a year? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If this does not happen before 2050, resolves to 2050.

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22-0.1pt100%
• October 24-1.8pt98%
• October 28-4.0pt86%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$26.3M

24h Vol

$1.4M

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.1pt100%
• October 27-1.0pt91%
• October 31-1.0pt86%

+28 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

• No+0.3pt98%
• Yes-0.3pt2%

Total Vol

$45M

24h Vol

$224.3K

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

• No-2.0pt79%
• Yes+2.0pt21%

Total Vol

$75.4M

24h Vol

$125.2K

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 3159%
• December 31+1.9pt37%
• November 30+0.5pt24%

+20 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

• December 31-2.0pt17%
• November 30-1.5pt10%
• November 15-1.0pt7%

+5 more outcomes

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Will Russia target Kyiv on?
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
• Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?