After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Geopolitics3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastKyiv (oblast) 91.3%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
153
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 5:03 AM UTCFeb 1, 30, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
If a region is partially held, resolves to the % in land area that is held by Ukraine.
- The war will end when the linked Wikipedia page shows an end date (excluding vandalism, and only after some time has passed).
- Note that this will probably require more than just a ceasefire.
- Feel free to add a region, but invalid answers will be N/Aed
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine??
- Manifold Markets prices Kyiv (oblast) at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine? resolve?
- After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2030.
- How is After the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If a region is partially held, resolves to the % in land area that is held by Ukraine.