Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.5%
Forecasters
43
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 24, 1:24 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any more top brass on the Russian side die before the end of the war on Ukraine? [See Description]
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PolymarketWill Ukraine target Moscow on?
PolymarketRules
The war ends when I consider it so.
- In general I would not consider a ceasefire akin to Minsk I or II as an end to the war.