Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 78.6%
Forecasters
78
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 21, 24, 1:15 PM UTCJan 25, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies.
- I'll extend the close date if Putin has yet to die.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Putin die in office??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Putin die in office? resolve?
- Will Putin die in office? is scheduled to resolve on January 25, 2030.
- How is Will Putin die in office? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Putin is president of Russia when he dies.