Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
PoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitics2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84%
Forecasters
111
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 17, 23, 1:03 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Some possible triggers for NO:
- He resigns or otherwise loses the presidency before the war ends
- He dies before the war ends
- He is ousted from the presidency as a condition of the war ending (even if he is given a small transition period of less than a year)
- Russia ceases to exist as a nation
- He changes position or title to something other than "President"
