Will Putin still be in power by the end of 2026?
One-OffPoliticsElectionGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 96.3%
Forecasters
129
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 20, 23, 6:26 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Vladimir Putin is still in power at 11:59 PM on December 31st, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Vladimir Putin is:
- 1- Deposed via coup or loses re-election.
- 2- De facto out of power due to illness, injury, or other extraordinary circumstances, being replaced by an Acting President.
- 3- Putin dies, regardless of cause of death.
