Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.3%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 25, 5:59 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between US and Canadian armed forces before January 1, 2029.
- This includes any exchange of fire, military strikes, or invasion attempts between the two nations' official military forces.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from either government or credible media reports from Reuters or Associated Press.