Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94.3%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 25, 5:59 AM UTCJan 2, 29, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
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This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between US and Canadian armed forces before January 1, 2029.
- This includes any exchange of fire, military strikes, or invasion attempts between the two nations' official military forces.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from either government or credible media reports from Reuters or Associated Press.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 resolve?
- US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2029.
- How is US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between US and Canadian armed forces before January 1, 2029.