Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
US PoliticsYearlyGeopoliticsRussia / UkraineChinaEurope3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 22, 26, 1:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the US and Denmark reach a formal deal regarding Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- The deal must involve a binding agreement between the US and Denmark (with Greenland as a party) that transfers some form of sovereignty, control, or significant rights over Greenland to the United States.
- This includes outright purchase, lease arrangements, or other formal territorial transfers.
- The deal must involve more than a framework or concept—it must be a finalized, legally binding agreement signed by all relevant parties.
- The market resolves NO if no such deal is reached by year-end 2026.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? resolve?
- Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria