Trump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
US PoliticsQuarterlyGeopoliticsRussia / UkraineChinaEurope2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleJan 22, 26, 1:18 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the US and Denmark reach a formal deal regarding Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- The deal must involve a binding agreement between the US and Denmark (with Greenland as a party) that transfers some form of sovereignty, control, or significant rights over Greenland to the United States.
- This includes outright purchase, lease arrangements, or other formal territorial transfers.
- The deal must involve more than a framework or concept—it must be a finalized, legally binding agreement signed by all relevant parties.
- The market resolves NO if no such deal is reached by year-end 2026.
