Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic Party 93%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Apr 10, 24, 5:58 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketNew York Governor Election Winner
PolymarketNew York Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
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- TX-15 House winner?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Democratic Party at 93% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? resolve?
- New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- Where else is New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.