Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 24, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastDemocratic Party 95.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
34
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleApr 10, 24, 4:34 PMNov 4, 26, 7:59 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democratic Party95%
Compare venues· Democratic Party
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Massachusetts?
10mo
95%
5%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTIT
Also available on Kalshi
Massachusetts Governor winner?
0.7 pts1y
-1.5pt91.1%
+0.7pt8.9%
75 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$104.1K
24h Vol$1K
KALSHI
Also available on Polymarket
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
0.5 pts3mo
+0.5pt95%
5%
0%
+10 more outcomes
67 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$36.4K
24h Vol$5.1
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$50Jul 85d of dataJul 24
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.