KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ohio 15%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$52.1
Liquidity
$44.2K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 1:00 AM UTCJan 20, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Closest Governor's Race?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
If Maine has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official state or local election division websitesthe official electoral commissions or secretaries of state for each jurisdiction holding elections withinofficial government websites of the relevant jurisdictionsThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsCNNNBC NewsABC NewsCBS NewsFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoFiveThirtyEightBallotpedia
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For yes/no referenda, it's the absolute difference between yes and no percentages.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Open markets
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
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+49 more outcomes
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- Democrats sweep60%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Closest Governor race in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Ohio at 15% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Closest Governor race in 2026? resolve?
- Closest Governor race in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2027.
- How is Closest Governor race in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Maine has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.