PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 15-20% 18%-0.5ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$231.2
Liquidity
$60.3K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 8:25 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
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GeminiWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 15-20% at 18% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does New York Governor Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- New York Governor Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is New York Governor Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.