PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
6M-6.5M 40%+24.0ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$21.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-41.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:23 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
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PolymarketNew York Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketNew York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew York Governor Winner
GeminiWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
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- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New York Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket prices 6M-6.5M at 40% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does New York Governor Election: Turnout resolve?
- New York Governor Election: Turnout is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is New York Governor Election: Turnout settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- Where else is New York Governor Election: Turnout listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.