Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastSouth China Sea 13%Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 2, 23, 10:52 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
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FutuurNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurRules
Nuclear tests and military drills ar not considered valid
- Only a nuclear bomb detonated during an open conflict
- Users can add a city or a country or a region
