What are the current odds for Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.

When does Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? resolve?

Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.

How is Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Iran detonates or attempts to detonate a nuclear weapon against an enemy country or force by December 31, 2030.

Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030? - Manifold Markets Odds

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