Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 4:34 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:33 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Iran use Nuclear weapons??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 18, 2026.
- When does Will Iran use Nuclear weapons? resolve?
- Will Iran use Nuclear weapons? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.