Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.4%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 59 minutes ago
LaggingMar 17, 25, 5:29 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Resolves according to the Wikipedia page
- https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auslandseins%C3%A4tze_der_Bundeswehr which tracks abroad missions of the Bundeswehr.
- Resolves Yes if there is
- an ongoing mission (table "Laufende Einsätze") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- an other mission / commitment ("Weitere Missionen / einsatzgleiche Verpflichtungen") in Ukraine with a start date before 2027
- Resolves to official statements if the Wikipedia page ceases to exist or stops being updated.