Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 2:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mykhailo Fedorov officially and publicly announces his candidacy for any national-level political office in Ukraine (including, but not limited to, President of Ukraine or a Member of Parliament / Verkhovna Rada) on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- To trigger a YES resolution:
- The announcement must be made directly by Mykhailo Fedorov, his official representatives, or through his verified communications channels (e.g., verified social media, official press statements, or direct quotes in reputable news outlets).
- The statement must express a definitive intent to run or register as a candidate in a future national election, even if the exact date of the election remains unscheduled due to ongoing wartime martial law.
- Anonymous leaks, media speculation, or hypothetical statements (e.g., "I would consider running if...") will not suffice for a YES resolution.
