Will Mykhailo Fedorov be reappointed as Defence Minister of Ukraine?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.2%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleJul 16, 26, 10:11 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mykhailo Fedorov is officially appointed and confirmed as the Minister of Defence of Ukraine again at any point on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of Appointment: The appointment must follow the official constitutional process of Ukraine—nomination by the President of Ukraine and confirmation by a majority vote of the Verkhovna Rada (Ukraine's parliament).
- Acting or temporary designations will not trigger a "YES" resolution unless they are formally confirmed by the parliament.
- Source of Truth: Official government portals, specifically the President of Ukraine or the Verkhovna Rada, or reliable reports from major international and Ukrainian media outlets (e.g., Reuters, The Kyiv Independent, Ukrainska Pravda).
