Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 23, 26, 3:27 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill Mike Rogers win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Resolves yes if the Democrat candidate wins both Alaska and Michigan for us senate in 2026.
- Current candidates are Mary Peltola and Abdul el Sayed.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Democrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Democrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026? resolve?
- Democrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Democrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if the Democrat candidate wins both Alaska and Michigan for us senate in 2026.