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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?

Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?

One-OffPoliticsUS Politics4mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Alabama
Alabama 97%
Leader of 35 outcomes
Forecasters

116

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Aug 19, 24, 9:50 PMNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Alabama97%

Rules

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2025-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent candidate who caucuses with the Republican party will not count as a Republican for the purposes of this market's resolution.

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Rules

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2025-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent candidate who caucuses with the Republican party will not count as a Republican for the purposes of this market's resolution.