Control of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms9d
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ForecastExRules
If in January 2027, at least 51 of the sitting senators in the 120th Congress of the United States are from the same party, such party shall be considered the winning outcome of this market.
- If no party reaches 51 senators, but the elected Vice-President's party reaches exactly 50 senators, that party shall still be considered the winning outcome.
- For the sake of this market, a senator is considered to be from a specific party when: A) they are elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with such party, or B) they have publicly stated an intention to caucus with such party.
- Although most of the elected senators will only take office in January 2027, Futuur may decide to resolve this market at any point between November 3rd, 2026, and January 2027 (or later, if needed), when it considers the official election results, concession speeches, and eventual legal actions taken by parties have finally made clear what party (if any) will control the Senate in the 120th Congress of the United States
