Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.7%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleSep 6, 26, 8:28 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
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ForecastExRules
Resolves yes if the Democratic candidate wins Ohio (Sherrod brown) and loses Iowa (Josh Turek) in the 2026 us senate elections.
Open markets
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- 24h Vol
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+39 more outcomes
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
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+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections? resolve?
- Will Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if the Democratic candidate wins Ohio (Sherrod brown) and loses Iowa (Josh Turek) in the 2026 us senate elections.