Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60.9%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jan 12, 26, 6:42 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?
Manifold MarketsAnnie Andrews wins South Carolina US Senate election?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats win Alaska and Michigan US Senate elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Roy Cooper win the North Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Michael Whatley win the North Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWhen will Bill Belichick leave North Carolina?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if democrats or those who intend to caucus with democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US senate in 2026.
- Resolves based on Major media reporting of election results or official results if needed.
- This will probably resolve based on election calls by outlets such as the associated press.
- Resolves No if democrats lose at least 1 of these elections.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate? resolve?
- Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if democrats or those who intend to caucus with democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US senate in 2026.