Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAbove 56 13%+5.9ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.9 pts
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 7:12 AM UTCFeb 1, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/democratic-senate-seats/kxdsenateseats-29
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
