What are the current odds for Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand??

Manifold Markets prices No at 89.7% as of October 5, 2026.

When does Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand? resolve?

Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Lula wins the BRAZIL president election

Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand?

PoliticsOne-OffElection Latin America2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 89.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Sep 29, 26, 5:50 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Resolves yes if Lula wins the BRAZIL president election

Democrats win control of house and senate in USA (resolves based on projected election results by ap)
And in NEW ZEALAND a prime minister is supplied by a left wing( member of labour or greens) party
All 3 must happen to resolve yes.

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Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand?

Centre Left wins In Brazil, USA and New Zealand?

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