KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Augusto Cury 29%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$17.3K
Liquidity
$12.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 AMOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome finishes in 4th place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For a two-round system where this event specifies the first round: rank is based on certified first-round vote count or percentage
- In case of an exact tie for fourth place, markets resolve proportionally, $1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down.
- A candidate not listed on this event who finishes fourth makes every named market resolve NO.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)?
- Kalshi prices Augusto Cury at 29% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) resolve?
- Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2027.
- How is Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome finishes in 4th place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.