KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityEd Markey 73.1%+2.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$163.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
75.0% / 76.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 2, 25, 4:00 PMNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ed Markey76%
Large trades
$1.1k28.0%KALSHIEd Markey — No14d ago
KALSHIEd Markey — No14d ago$1.9k76.0%KALSHIEd Markey — Yes20d ago
KALSHIEd Markey — Yes20d agoVolume trend
$4.1kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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If Ed Markey wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexander Rikleen wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Seth Moulton wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ayanna Pressley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate Massachusetts Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.