Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.6%
Forecasters
70
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 14, 26, 6:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Tired of the "technically a Delta force operation would make this resolve yes" invasion markets.
- Are we REALLY going to invade? This market resolves YES if at any time 1000 or more american soldiers are on the ground in Iran by EOY.
